Let me start today’s Penicuik Property Blog
with an apology and a thanks. Firstly,
the apology – apologies for this edition of the blog coming out on a Sunday
rather than the normal Thursday.
Secondly, thank you to all the concerned readers of the Penicuik
Property Blog who got in touch to see if anything was wrong given that the
‘regular as clock work’ Thursday blog was not posted. We are issuing the first
edition of the Falkirk Property News shortly to accompany the Falkirk Property
Blog that has been going for some time and this has kept me a wee bit busy!
Now, back to important matters – the Penicuik
property market.
Penicuik’s continuing housing shortage is
putting the town’s (and Scotland’s) repute as a nation of homeowners ‘under
threat’, as the number of houses being built continues to be woefully
inadequate in meeting the ever demanding needs of the growing population in the
town.
In fact, I was talking to some friends the
other day at a get together and the subject of the Penicuik Property market
came up in the conversation after the weather and politics. It was said that it
used to be that if you went out to work and did the right thing, you would
expect that relatively quickly you would be buying a house, you would go on
holiday every year and you would save for a pension. But now things seem to
have changed.
At least 30,000 new homes are needed each
year in Scotland to tackle the chronic housing shortage this Country has.
As you can see from the graph above (courtesy
of the Office of National Statistics), only 18,285 properties were
built in 2015 in Scotland as a whole (split down 12,050 built by private
builders, 3,060 built by Housing Associations and a paltry 1,160 council houses). Also, and perhaps more concerning are that
facts that the last time we build more than 30,000 homes a year was in 1977
(the year of the punk explosion and the Queen’s silver (yes, silver!) jubilee
depending on your taste) and we have only built 21,000 homes per year on
average over the last 10 years.
The current Scottish Government is helping –
they are committed to see the building of 6,000 homes per year on average and
are on track to deliver this. However,
this still leaves another 24,000 homes per year to build.
The picture in Penicuik is similar to the
Scottish wide trend.
There are simply not enough houses in
Penicuik and the shortage of supply has meant Penicuik property values
have continued to rise, meaning they are 3.1% higher than 6 months ago.
I was taught at school that it is all about
supply and demand, this economics game. The demand for Penicuik property has
been particular strong for properties in the good areas of the town
and it is my considered opinion that it is likely to continue this year, driven
by growing demand among buyers (both Penicuik home buyers and Penicuik
landlords alike). You see, Penicuik’s economy is quite varied, meaning activity
is expected to remain relatively strong into the early Summer of 2016, especially
as some Penicuik buy to let landlords try to complete purchases ahead
of the introduction of new Land & Buildings Transaction Tax (stamp duty to
you any me!) rules in April.
…and of supply, well we have spoken about the
lack of new building in the town holding things back, but there is another
issue relating to supply. Of the existing properties already built,
the concern is the number of properties on the market and for sale.
The number of properties currently for sale in Penicuik is
only 28, whilst 12 months ago this figure was 62 and three years ago it stood
at 87… a massive drop!
With demand for Penicuik property rising,
minimal new homes being built and less properties coming onto the
market, that can only mean one thing, now is a good time to be a homeowner or
landlord in Pencuik.
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