Years ago, it seemed that people moved all the time,
friends of mine always seemed to be packing up and moving on to their next
home. I actually read on the internet that the average UK person moves 8 times
in their life or every 9 to 10 years. However, from research I have carried out
it shows things have changed considerably in Penicuik in recent years, and
interestingly, the trend is getting worse!
In Penicuik, there are 6,627 properties. However, after
we remove the 1,014 council houses, 371 housing association houses, 490
privately rented houses and 40 houses where the occupants live rent free, that
leaves us with 4,712 owned properties, be that 100% outright, with a mortgage
or shared ownership. This means 71% of the properties in Penicuik are occupied
by the owner (the national average is interestingly 62%) but the number of
people who have sold and moved house in Penicuik, over the last 12 months, has
only been 245. This means that, on these figures, the homeowners of Penicuk are only
moving on average every 19.2 years.
There are a couple of reasons for this. Firstly, the cost
of moving house has risen dramatically over the last twenty years and,
secondly, with many remortgaging their properties in the mid 2000’s before the
price crash of 2008, there is a reluctance or inability in a small minority of
homeowners to finance a home sale/purchase, due to lack of equity. These are
both factors leading to driving fewer moves by existing homeowners.
However, the big effect has been the change in house
price inflation. Back in the 1970’s and 1980’s, house prices were doubling
every 5 to 7 years. Even in Greater London, with its stratospheric property
price increases over the last few years, it has taken 13 years (August 2002 to
be exact) for property values to double to today’s levels.
So what does this all mean for Penicuik buy to let
landlords? Well, for the same reasons existing Penicuik homeowners aren’t
moving, less ‘twenty something’s’ are buying their first home as well. Penicuik
youngsters may aspire to own their own home, but without the social pressure
from their peers and parents to buy their first property as soon people reach
their early 20’s, the memory of the 2008 housing crisis and the belief the hard
times either aren't over or the worst is yet to come, current and would-be
homeowners are warming to the idea of renting. I also believe UK society has
changed, with the youngster’s wanting prosperity and happiness; but wanting it
all now... instantly... today... without the sacrifice, work and patience that
these things take.
As a society, we now expect things instantly, and if it
doesn’t come easy, doesn’t come quick, some youngsters ask if it is really
worth the effort to save for the deposit? Why go without holidays, the
newest iPhone, socialising four times a week and the fancy satellite package
for a couple of years, to save for that 5% deposit. Why should they if there is
no longer a social stigma in renting or pressure to buy as there was say a
generation ago?
Where is my evidence for this? Well it is the significant increase over time
in the number of properties being rented – 8% of Penicuik properties are
currently privately rented, double the level it was ten years ago.
As a result, the demand for rental properties continues
to grow from tenants, meaning those wishing to invest in the buy to let market,
over the long term, might be on to a good thing.
some would rather just spend the money on enjoying their youth, rather than a mortgage
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